Petrović, Nevena

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  • Petrović, Nevena (3)
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Author's Bibliography

On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia

Ruml, Mirjana; Vuković, Ana; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Djurdjević, Vladimir; Ranković-Vasić, Zorica; Atanacković, Zoran; Sivčev, Branislava; Marković, Nebojša; Matijašević, Saša; Petrović, Nevena

(Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Atanacković, Zoran
AU  - Sivčev, Branislava
AU  - Marković, Nebojša
AU  - Matijašević, Saša
AU  - Petrović, Nevena
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3029
AB  - Climate projections obtained from the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University - Princeton Ocean Model) driven by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), showed that the vineyard regions of Serbia tend to become warmer and dryer toward the end of 21st century. To evaluate how Serbian viticulture could be affected by a projected climate regime, several climatic variables and agro-climatic indices describing the suitability of a particular area for grapevine production were calculated, after a statistical bias correction was applied to the daily temperature and precipitation data from EBU-POM outputs. Comparison between climatic variables and agro-climatic indices for the reference period 1961-1990 and predicted values for the 2001-2030 period (under the SRES A1B scenario) and the 2071-2100 period (under the SRES A2 scenario) was made for 18 climatological stations placed mostly within, but also outside traditional viticultural regions. According to the obtained change trends it is likely that no significant disturbances in Serbian viticulture will occur over the next few decades, but considerable changes are expected by the end of the 21st century. Warmer and prolonged growing season with greater heat accumulation and longer frost-free period with decline in frost frequency would likely affect the yield and ripening potential of grapes and induce shifts in varietal suitability and wine styles. Projected changes may bring on the need for additional vineyard irrigation, but also open up the possibility that marginal and elevated areas, previously too cool for cultivation of grapevines, become climatically suited for viticulture.
PB  - Elsevier, Amsterdam
T2  - Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
T1  - On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia
EP  - 62
SP  - 53
VL  - 158
DO  - 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ruml, Mirjana and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Atanacković, Zoran and Sivčev, Branislava and Marković, Nebojša and Matijašević, Saša and Petrović, Nevena",
year = "2012",
abstract = "Climate projections obtained from the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University - Princeton Ocean Model) driven by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), showed that the vineyard regions of Serbia tend to become warmer and dryer toward the end of 21st century. To evaluate how Serbian viticulture could be affected by a projected climate regime, several climatic variables and agro-climatic indices describing the suitability of a particular area for grapevine production were calculated, after a statistical bias correction was applied to the daily temperature and precipitation data from EBU-POM outputs. Comparison between climatic variables and agro-climatic indices for the reference period 1961-1990 and predicted values for the 2001-2030 period (under the SRES A1B scenario) and the 2071-2100 period (under the SRES A2 scenario) was made for 18 climatological stations placed mostly within, but also outside traditional viticultural regions. According to the obtained change trends it is likely that no significant disturbances in Serbian viticulture will occur over the next few decades, but considerable changes are expected by the end of the 21st century. Warmer and prolonged growing season with greater heat accumulation and longer frost-free period with decline in frost frequency would likely affect the yield and ripening potential of grapes and induce shifts in varietal suitability and wine styles. Projected changes may bring on the need for additional vineyard irrigation, but also open up the possibility that marginal and elevated areas, previously too cool for cultivation of grapevines, become climatically suited for viticulture.",
publisher = "Elsevier, Amsterdam",
journal = "Agricultural and Forest Meteorology",
title = "On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia",
pages = "62-53",
volume = "158",
doi = "10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004"
}
Ruml, M., Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, B., Marković, N., Matijašević, S.,& Petrović, N.. (2012). On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia. in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Elsevier, Amsterdam., 158, 53-62.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004
Ruml M, Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Djurdjević V, Ranković-Vasić Z, Atanacković Z, Sivčev B, Marković N, Matijašević S, Petrović N. On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia. in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 2012;158:53-62.
doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004 .
Ruml, Mirjana, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Atanacković, Zoran, Sivčev, Branislava, Marković, Nebojša, Matijašević, Saša, Petrović, Nevena, "On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia" in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 158 (2012):53-62,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004 . .
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Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region

Vujadinović, Mirjam; Vuković, Ana; Djurdjević, V.; Ranković-Vasić, Zorica; Atanacković, Z.; Sivčev, Branislava; Marković, Nebojša; Petrović, Nevena

(2012)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Djurdjević, V.
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Atanacković, Z.
AU  - Sivčev, Branislava
AU  - Marković, Nebojša
AU  - Petrović, Nevena
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2801
AB  - The focus of this paper is to explain a proper way of using climate model simulations in climate change impact studies. Special attention is addressed to reducing model bias, a systematic model error present in all climate integrations. Studies are done using climate projection results obtained by the Coupled Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, for three periods: 1961-1990 (experiment 20c3m), 2001-2030 (A1B scenario) and 2071-2100 (A2 scenario) for the Balkan area with special analysis of vineyard regions in Serbia. A Statistical Bias Correction method, based on daily values, is applied to the model results in order to minimize bias. Corrected values for 2 m air temperature and precipitation are used to calculate several climate indicators important for grape growing. Obtained results show that projected increase in temperature may lead to an extended growing season duration, as well as an increase in Growing Degree-Days by 1000 units, by the end of the 21st century. The grapevine dormant period is likely to be shortened and affected by warmer winters with less frost days. Changes in water supply and overheating could lead to changes in vineyard locations or changes in the selection of grapevine cultivars. Presented results show that the present climate conditions in vineyard regions could be shifted to higher altitudes (1000 m) by the end of the century.
C3  - Acta Horticulturae
T1  - Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region
EP  - 94
SP  - 87
VL  - 931
DO  - 10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Vujadinović, Mirjam and Vuković, Ana and Djurdjević, V. and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Atanacković, Z. and Sivčev, Branislava and Marković, Nebojša and Petrović, Nevena",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The focus of this paper is to explain a proper way of using climate model simulations in climate change impact studies. Special attention is addressed to reducing model bias, a systematic model error present in all climate integrations. Studies are done using climate projection results obtained by the Coupled Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, for three periods: 1961-1990 (experiment 20c3m), 2001-2030 (A1B scenario) and 2071-2100 (A2 scenario) for the Balkan area with special analysis of vineyard regions in Serbia. A Statistical Bias Correction method, based on daily values, is applied to the model results in order to minimize bias. Corrected values for 2 m air temperature and precipitation are used to calculate several climate indicators important for grape growing. Obtained results show that projected increase in temperature may lead to an extended growing season duration, as well as an increase in Growing Degree-Days by 1000 units, by the end of the 21st century. The grapevine dormant period is likely to be shortened and affected by warmer winters with less frost days. Changes in water supply and overheating could lead to changes in vineyard locations or changes in the selection of grapevine cultivars. Presented results show that the present climate conditions in vineyard regions could be shifted to higher altitudes (1000 m) by the end of the century.",
journal = "Acta Horticulturae",
title = "Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region",
pages = "94-87",
volume = "931",
doi = "10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9"
}
Vujadinović, M., Vuković, A., Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, B., Marković, N.,& Petrović, N.. (2012). Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region. in Acta Horticulturae, 931, 87-94.
https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9
Vujadinović M, Vuković A, Djurdjević V, Ranković-Vasić Z, Atanacković Z, Sivčev B, Marković N, Petrović N. Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region. in Acta Horticulturae. 2012;931:87-94.
doi:10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9 .
Vujadinović, Mirjam, Vuković, Ana, Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, Branislava, Marković, Nebojša, Petrović, Nevena, "Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region" in Acta Horticulturae, 931 (2012):87-94,
https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9 . .
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Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties

Sivčev, Branislava; Petrović, Nevena; Ranković-Vasić, Zorica; Radovanović, Dragica; Vuković, Ana; Vujadinović, Mirjam

(Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr., 2011)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Sivčev, Branislava
AU  - Petrović, Nevena
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Radovanović, Dragica
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
PY  - 2011
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2654
AB  - The aim of this paper is to establish the interaction of phenotypical variations, components of yield for the widest spread wine varieties and external factors of the Danube region in the central Serbia. The number of fruitful buds per vine for twenty-one varieties was the same, whereas the yield and the components of the yield were different. The growing season, from bud burst to full ripening of the grapevine and the sum of active temperatures for the same period, were of crucial importance. In the factor analysis, three factors have been singled out: the first factor couples the mean air temperature; the second factor delineates the values according to genotype characteristics, sugar content and acids in the must, and the third factor indicates that bunch weight had the major effect on the yield of grapes. By the application of bunch analysis, a hierarchy tree was formed to include the four groups of varieties. The most numerous group, consisting of 18 varieties, is characterized by top quality grapes (21.5% sugar content), medium yield (1.52 kg/m2) and a proportional relation of total acids (7.5 g/l) and this is achieved during the middle of the ripening period.
PB  - Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties
EP  - 370
IS  - 2
SP  - 365
VL  - 63
DO  - 10.2298/ABS1102365S
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Sivčev, Branislava and Petrović, Nevena and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Radovanović, Dragica and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam",
year = "2011",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to establish the interaction of phenotypical variations, components of yield for the widest spread wine varieties and external factors of the Danube region in the central Serbia. The number of fruitful buds per vine for twenty-one varieties was the same, whereas the yield and the components of the yield were different. The growing season, from bud burst to full ripening of the grapevine and the sum of active temperatures for the same period, were of crucial importance. In the factor analysis, three factors have been singled out: the first factor couples the mean air temperature; the second factor delineates the values according to genotype characteristics, sugar content and acids in the must, and the third factor indicates that bunch weight had the major effect on the yield of grapes. By the application of bunch analysis, a hierarchy tree was formed to include the four groups of varieties. The most numerous group, consisting of 18 varieties, is characterized by top quality grapes (21.5% sugar content), medium yield (1.52 kg/m2) and a proportional relation of total acids (7.5 g/l) and this is achieved during the middle of the ripening period.",
publisher = "Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties",
pages = "370-365",
number = "2",
volume = "63",
doi = "10.2298/ABS1102365S"
}
Sivčev, B., Petrović, N., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Radovanović, D., Vuković, A.,& Vujadinović, M.. (2011). Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties. in Archives of Biological Sciences
Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.., 63(2), 365-370.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1102365S
Sivčev B, Petrović N, Ranković-Vasić Z, Radovanović D, Vuković A, Vujadinović M. Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties. in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2011;63(2):365-370.
doi:10.2298/ABS1102365S .
Sivčev, Branislava, Petrović, Nevena, Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Radovanović, Dragica, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, "Effect of the genotype: Environmental interaction on phenotype variation of the bunch weight in white wine varieties" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 63, no. 2 (2011):365-370,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1102365S . .
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