Possibilities of raspberry yield prediction in the region of Arilje

Abstract

Analysis of meteorological and raspberry yield data for the region of Arilje from 1982 to 1997 showed that that thermal regimes in some periods of sixteen month long cycle of raspberry have a greater impact on yields than the thermal regimes in other periods of the cycle. The most important for raspberry yield are temperature conditions in July and November in the first year, and in February and April in the second year of the cycle. Parameter that gives the evaluation of favor ability of thermal regime is defined using average temperatures for these crucial months. Derived parameter can be used to predict raspberry yield as early as the beginning of May.

U ovom radu određen je metod za procenu visine prinosa maline u ariljskom malinogorju na osnovu karakteristika toplotnog režima u šestnaestomesečnom periodu rasta i razvića serije izadanaka koji ostvaruju taj prinos. Na osnovu predložene ocene povoljnosti toplotnog režima, već početkom maja može se dati prognoza o visini prinosa maline.