The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia
Upotreba indeksa suše za evaluaciju uticaja promene klime na bukove šume u Srbiji
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Stojanović, DejanMatović, Bratislav
Orlović, Saša
Kržič, Aleksandra
Djurdjević, Vladimir
Galić, Zoran
Vuković, Ana

Vujadinović, Mirjam

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The future of beech as the most widespread and most important tree species is an issue of great importance for the forestry in Serbia. The projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that in this region the average annual temperature for the A2 scenario could increase by as much as 3.8 degrees Celsius in the 21st century. The objective of this paper was to quantify changes in aridity in Serbia over the past 50 years by the aims of forest aridity index (FAI). Obtained results showed that the period 1981-2010 was drier in comparison with the period 1961-1990. In order to forecast the future impact of climate change on the beech forests in Serbia it was suggested using of climate projections together with forest aridity index.
Budućnost bukve kao najrasprostranjenije i najznačajnije drvenaste vrste je pitanje od izuzetnog značaja za šumarsku nauku u Srbiji. Projekcije Međuvladinog panela za promenu klime govore da se na ovim prostorima prosečna godišnja temperatura po A2 scenariju može povećati za čak 3,8 °C u 21. veku. Cilj ovog rada je bio da kvantifikuje promene aridnosti u Srbiji u proteklih 50 godina upotrebom indeksa suše. Dobijeni rezultati su pokazali da je period 1981-2010 bio sušniji u odnosu na period 1961-1990. U svrhu predviđanja uticaja predstojećih klimatskih promena na šume bukve u Srbiji predloženo je korišćenje klimatskih prognoza združenih sa indeksom suše.
Keywords:
beech / climate changes / Serbia / bukva / klimatske promene / SrbijaSource:
Topola, 2012, 189-190, 117-123Publisher:
- Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad
Funding / projects:
- Studying climate change and its influence on environment: impacts, adaptation and mitigation (RS-43007)
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Poljoprivredni fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Stojanović, Dejan AU - Matović, Bratislav AU - Orlović, Saša AU - Kržič, Aleksandra AU - Djurdjević, Vladimir AU - Galić, Zoran AU - Vuković, Ana AU - Vujadinović, Mirjam PY - 2012 UR - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2905 AB - The future of beech as the most widespread and most important tree species is an issue of great importance for the forestry in Serbia. The projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that in this region the average annual temperature for the A2 scenario could increase by as much as 3.8 degrees Celsius in the 21st century. The objective of this paper was to quantify changes in aridity in Serbia over the past 50 years by the aims of forest aridity index (FAI). Obtained results showed that the period 1981-2010 was drier in comparison with the period 1961-1990. In order to forecast the future impact of climate change on the beech forests in Serbia it was suggested using of climate projections together with forest aridity index. AB - Budućnost bukve kao najrasprostranjenije i najznačajnije drvenaste vrste je pitanje od izuzetnog značaja za šumarsku nauku u Srbiji. Projekcije Međuvladinog panela za promenu klime govore da se na ovim prostorima prosečna godišnja temperatura po A2 scenariju može povećati za čak 3,8 °C u 21. veku. Cilj ovog rada je bio da kvantifikuje promene aridnosti u Srbiji u proteklih 50 godina upotrebom indeksa suše. Dobijeni rezultati su pokazali da je period 1981-2010 bio sušniji u odnosu na period 1961-1990. U svrhu predviđanja uticaja predstojećih klimatskih promena na šume bukve u Srbiji predloženo je korišćenje klimatskih prognoza združenih sa indeksom suše. PB - Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad T2 - Topola T1 - The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia T1 - Upotreba indeksa suše za evaluaciju uticaja promene klime na bukove šume u Srbiji EP - 123 IS - 189-190 SP - 117 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905 ER -
@article{ author = "Stojanović, Dejan and Matović, Bratislav and Orlović, Saša and Kržič, Aleksandra and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Galić, Zoran and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam", year = "2012", abstract = "The future of beech as the most widespread and most important tree species is an issue of great importance for the forestry in Serbia. The projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that in this region the average annual temperature for the A2 scenario could increase by as much as 3.8 degrees Celsius in the 21st century. The objective of this paper was to quantify changes in aridity in Serbia over the past 50 years by the aims of forest aridity index (FAI). Obtained results showed that the period 1981-2010 was drier in comparison with the period 1961-1990. In order to forecast the future impact of climate change on the beech forests in Serbia it was suggested using of climate projections together with forest aridity index., Budućnost bukve kao najrasprostranjenije i najznačajnije drvenaste vrste je pitanje od izuzetnog značaja za šumarsku nauku u Srbiji. Projekcije Međuvladinog panela za promenu klime govore da se na ovim prostorima prosečna godišnja temperatura po A2 scenariju može povećati za čak 3,8 °C u 21. veku. Cilj ovog rada je bio da kvantifikuje promene aridnosti u Srbiji u proteklih 50 godina upotrebom indeksa suše. Dobijeni rezultati su pokazali da je period 1981-2010 bio sušniji u odnosu na period 1961-1990. U svrhu predviđanja uticaja predstojećih klimatskih promena na šume bukve u Srbiji predloženo je korišćenje klimatskih prognoza združenih sa indeksom suše.", publisher = "Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad", journal = "Topola", title = "The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia, Upotreba indeksa suše za evaluaciju uticaja promene klime na bukove šume u Srbiji", pages = "123-117", number = "189-190", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905" }
Stojanović, D., Matović, B., Orlović, S., Kržič, A., Djurdjević, V., Galić, Z., Vuković, A.,& Vujadinović, M.. (2012). The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia. in Topola Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad.(189-190), 117-123. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905
Stojanović D, Matović B, Orlović S, Kržič A, Djurdjević V, Galić Z, Vuković A, Vujadinović M. The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia. in Topola. 2012;(189-190):117-123. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905 .
Stojanović, Dejan, Matović, Bratislav, Orlović, Saša, Kržič, Aleksandra, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Galić, Zoran, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, "The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia" in Topola, no. 189-190 (2012):117-123, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905 .