@article{
author = "Teslić, Nemanja and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Ruml, Mirjana and Ricci, Arianna and Vuković, Ana and Parpinello, Giuseppina P. and Versari, Andrea",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments.",
publisher = "Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg",
journal = "Regional Environmental Change",
title = "Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production",
pages = "614-599",
number = "2",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6"
}