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Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production

Teslić, Nemanja; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Ruml, Mirjana; Ricci, Arianna; Vuković, Ana; Parpinello, Giuseppina P.; Versari, Andrea

(Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Teslić, Nemanja
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Ricci, Arianna
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Parpinello, Giuseppina P.
AU  - Versari, Andrea
PY  - 2019
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/5036
AB  - Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments.
PB  - Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg
T2  - Regional Environmental Change
T1  - Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production
EP  - 614
IS  - 2
SP  - 599
VL  - 19
DO  - 10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Teslić, Nemanja and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Ruml, Mirjana and Ricci, Arianna and Vuković, Ana and Parpinello, Giuseppina P. and Versari, Andrea",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments.",
publisher = "Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg",
journal = "Regional Environmental Change",
title = "Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production",
pages = "614-599",
number = "2",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6"
}
Teslić, N., Vujadinović, M., Ruml, M., Ricci, A., Vuković, A., Parpinello, G. P.,& Versari, A.. (2019). Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production. in Regional Environmental Change
Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg., 19(2), 599-614.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6
Teslić N, Vujadinović M, Ruml M, Ricci A, Vuković A, Parpinello GP, Versari A. Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production. in Regional Environmental Change. 2019;19(2):599-614.
doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6 .
Teslić, Nemanja, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Ruml, Mirjana, Ricci, Arianna, Vuković, Ana, Parpinello, Giuseppina P., Versari, Andrea, "Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production" in Regional Environmental Change, 19, no. 2 (2019):599-614,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6 . .
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