TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vuković Vimić, Ana
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Nikolić, Dragan
AU  - Ćosić, Marija
AU  - Lipovac, Aleksa
AU  - Cvetković, Bojan
AU  - Sotonica, Dunja
AU  - Vojvodić, Dijana
AU  - Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam
PY  - 2022
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/8/1337
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/6167
AB  - The Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System (IAPS) was a two-year project for the development of the long term forecast (LRF) for agricultural producers. Using LRF in decision-making, to reduce the risks and seize the opportunities, represents short-term adaptation to climate change. High-resolution ensemble forecasts (51 forecasts) were made for a period of 7 months and were initiated on the first day of each month. For the initial testing of the capacity of LRF to provide useful information for producers, 2017 was chosen as the test year as it had a very hot summer and severe drought, which caused significant impacts on agricultural production. LRF was very useful in predicting the variables which bear the memory of the longer period, such are growing degree days for the prediction of dates of the phenophases’ occurrences and the soil moisture of deeper soil layers as an indicator for the drought. Other project activities included field observations, communication with producers, web portal development, etc. Our results showed that the selected priority forecasting products were also identified by the producers as being the highest weather-related risks, the operational forecast implementation with the products designed for the use in agricultural production is proven to be urgent and necessary for decision-making, and required investments are affordable. The total cost of the full upgrade of agrometeorological climate services to meet current needs (including monitoring, seamless forecasting system development and the development of tools for information dissemination) was found to be about three orders of magnitude lower than the assessed losses in agricultural production in the two extreme years over the past decade.
T2  - Atmosphere
T2  - Atmosphere
T1  - Enhancing Capacity for Short-Term Climate Change Adaptations in Agriculture in Serbia: Development of Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System
IS  - 8
SP  - 1337
VL  - 13
DO  - 10.3390/atmos13081337
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vuković Vimić, Ana and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Nikolić, Dragan and Ćosić, Marija and Lipovac, Aleksa and Cvetković, Bojan and Sotonica, Dunja and Vojvodić, Dijana and Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam",
year = "2022",
abstract = "The Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System (IAPS) was a two-year project for the development of the long term forecast (LRF) for agricultural producers. Using LRF in decision-making, to reduce the risks and seize the opportunities, represents short-term adaptation to climate change. High-resolution ensemble forecasts (51 forecasts) were made for a period of 7 months and were initiated on the first day of each month. For the initial testing of the capacity of LRF to provide useful information for producers, 2017 was chosen as the test year as it had a very hot summer and severe drought, which caused significant impacts on agricultural production. LRF was very useful in predicting the variables which bear the memory of the longer period, such are growing degree days for the prediction of dates of the phenophases’ occurrences and the soil moisture of deeper soil layers as an indicator for the drought. Other project activities included field observations, communication with producers, web portal development, etc. Our results showed that the selected priority forecasting products were also identified by the producers as being the highest weather-related risks, the operational forecast implementation with the products designed for the use in agricultural production is proven to be urgent and necessary for decision-making, and required investments are affordable. The total cost of the full upgrade of agrometeorological climate services to meet current needs (including monitoring, seamless forecasting system development and the development of tools for information dissemination) was found to be about three orders of magnitude lower than the assessed losses in agricultural production in the two extreme years over the past decade.",
journal = "Atmosphere, Atmosphere",
title = "Enhancing Capacity for Short-Term Climate Change Adaptations in Agriculture in Serbia: Development of Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System",
number = "8",
pages = "1337",
volume = "13",
doi = "10.3390/atmos13081337"
}

Vuković Vimić, A., Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Nikolić, D., Ćosić, M., Lipovac, A., Cvetković, B., Sotonica, D., Vojvodić, D.,& Vujadinović Mandić, M.. (2022). Enhancing Capacity for Short-Term Climate Change Adaptations in Agriculture in Serbia: Development of Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System. in Atmosphere, 13(8), 1337.
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13081337

Vuković Vimić A, Djurdjević V, Ranković-Vasić Z, Nikolić D, Ćosić M, Lipovac A, Cvetković B, Sotonica D, Vojvodić D, Vujadinović Mandić M. Enhancing Capacity for Short-Term Climate Change Adaptations in Agriculture in Serbia: Development of Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System. in Atmosphere. 2022;13(8):1337.
doi:10.3390/atmos13081337 .

Vuković Vimić, Ana, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Nikolić, Dragan, Ćosić, Marija, Lipovac, Aleksa, Cvetković, Bojan, Sotonica, Dunja, Vojvodić, Dijana, Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam, "Enhancing Capacity for Short-Term Climate Change Adaptations in Agriculture in Serbia: Development of Integrated Agrometeorological Prediction System" in Atmosphere, 13, no. 8 (2022):1337,
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13081337 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Rendulić, Sonja M.
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Babić, Violeta P.
AU  - Popović, Dunja P.
PY  - 2018
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/4693
AB  - Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100
EP  - 2280
IS  - 6
SP  - 2267
VL  - 22
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI180411168V
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Rendulić, Sonja M. and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Ruml, Mirjana and Babić, Violeta P. and Popović, Dunja P.",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100",
pages = "2280-2267",
number = "6",
volume = "22",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI180411168V"
}

Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Rendulić, S. M., Djurdjević, V., Ruml, M., Babić, V. P.,& Popović, D. P.. (2018). Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 22(6), 2267-2280.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V

Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Rendulić SM, Djurdjević V, Ruml M, Babić VP, Popović DP. Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science. 2018;22(6):2267-2280.
doi:10.2298/TSCI180411168V .

Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Rendulić, Sonja M., Djurdjević, Vladimir, Ruml, Mirjana, Babić, Violeta P., Popović, Dunja P., "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100" in Thermal Science, 22, no. 6 (2018):2267-2280,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Atanacković, Zoran
AU  - Sivčev, Branislava
AU  - Marković, Nebojša
AU  - Matijašević, Saša
AU  - Petrović, Nevena
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3029
AB  - Climate projections obtained from the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University - Princeton Ocean Model) driven by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), showed that the vineyard regions of Serbia tend to become warmer and dryer toward the end of 21st century. To evaluate how Serbian viticulture could be affected by a projected climate regime, several climatic variables and agro-climatic indices describing the suitability of a particular area for grapevine production were calculated, after a statistical bias correction was applied to the daily temperature and precipitation data from EBU-POM outputs. Comparison between climatic variables and agro-climatic indices for the reference period 1961-1990 and predicted values for the 2001-2030 period (under the SRES A1B scenario) and the 2071-2100 period (under the SRES A2 scenario) was made for 18 climatological stations placed mostly within, but also outside traditional viticultural regions. According to the obtained change trends it is likely that no significant disturbances in Serbian viticulture will occur over the next few decades, but considerable changes are expected by the end of the 21st century. Warmer and prolonged growing season with greater heat accumulation and longer frost-free period with decline in frost frequency would likely affect the yield and ripening potential of grapes and induce shifts in varietal suitability and wine styles. Projected changes may bring on the need for additional vineyard irrigation, but also open up the possibility that marginal and elevated areas, previously too cool for cultivation of grapevines, become climatically suited for viticulture.
PB  - Elsevier, Amsterdam
T2  - Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
T1  - On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia
EP  - 62
SP  - 53
VL  - 158
DO  - 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ruml, Mirjana and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Atanacković, Zoran and Sivčev, Branislava and Marković, Nebojša and Matijašević, Saša and Petrović, Nevena",
year = "2012",
abstract = "Climate projections obtained from the coupled regional climate model EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University - Princeton Ocean Model) driven by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), showed that the vineyard regions of Serbia tend to become warmer and dryer toward the end of 21st century. To evaluate how Serbian viticulture could be affected by a projected climate regime, several climatic variables and agro-climatic indices describing the suitability of a particular area for grapevine production were calculated, after a statistical bias correction was applied to the daily temperature and precipitation data from EBU-POM outputs. Comparison between climatic variables and agro-climatic indices for the reference period 1961-1990 and predicted values for the 2001-2030 period (under the SRES A1B scenario) and the 2071-2100 period (under the SRES A2 scenario) was made for 18 climatological stations placed mostly within, but also outside traditional viticultural regions. According to the obtained change trends it is likely that no significant disturbances in Serbian viticulture will occur over the next few decades, but considerable changes are expected by the end of the 21st century. Warmer and prolonged growing season with greater heat accumulation and longer frost-free period with decline in frost frequency would likely affect the yield and ripening potential of grapes and induce shifts in varietal suitability and wine styles. Projected changes may bring on the need for additional vineyard irrigation, but also open up the possibility that marginal and elevated areas, previously too cool for cultivation of grapevines, become climatically suited for viticulture.",
publisher = "Elsevier, Amsterdam",
journal = "Agricultural and Forest Meteorology",
title = "On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia",
pages = "62-53",
volume = "158",
doi = "10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004"
}

Ruml, M., Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, B., Marković, N., Matijašević, S.,& Petrović, N.. (2012). On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia. in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Elsevier, Amsterdam., 158, 53-62.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004

Ruml M, Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Djurdjević V, Ranković-Vasić Z, Atanacković Z, Sivčev B, Marković N, Matijašević S, Petrović N. On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia. in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 2012;158:53-62.
doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004 .

Ruml, Mirjana, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Atanacković, Zoran, Sivčev, Branislava, Marković, Nebojša, Matijašević, Saša, Petrović, Nevena, "On the use of regional climate models: Implications of climate change for viticulture in Serbia" in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 158 (2012):53-62,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.02.004 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojanović, Dejan
AU  - Matović, Bratislav
AU  - Orlović, Saša
AU  - Kržič, Aleksandra
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Galić, Zoran
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2905
AB  - The future of beech as the most widespread and most important tree species is an issue of great importance for the forestry in Serbia. The projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that in this region the average annual temperature for the A2 scenario could increase by as much as 3.8 degrees Celsius in the 21st century. The objective of this paper was to quantify changes in aridity in Serbia over the past 50 years by the aims of forest aridity index (FAI). Obtained results showed that the period 1981-2010 was drier in comparison with the period 1961-1990. In order to forecast the future impact of climate change on the beech forests in Serbia it was suggested using of climate projections together with forest aridity index.
AB  - Budućnost bukve kao najrasprostranjenije i najznačajnije drvenaste vrste je pitanje od izuzetnog značaja za šumarsku nauku u Srbiji. Projekcije Međuvladinog panela za promenu klime govore da se na ovim prostorima prosečna godišnja temperatura po A2 scenariju može povećati za čak 3,8 °C u 21. veku. Cilj ovog rada je bio da kvantifikuje promene aridnosti u Srbiji u proteklih 50 godina upotrebom indeksa suše. Dobijeni rezultati su pokazali da je period 1981-2010 bio sušniji u odnosu na period 1961-1990. U svrhu predviđanja uticaja predstojećih klimatskih promena na šume bukve u Srbiji predloženo je korišćenje klimatskih prognoza združenih sa indeksom suše.
PB  - Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad
T2  - Topola
T1  - The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia
T1  - Upotreba indeksa suše za evaluaciju uticaja promene klime na bukove šume u Srbiji
EP  - 123
IS  - 189-190
SP  - 117
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Stojanović, Dejan and Matović, Bratislav and Orlović, Saša and Kržič, Aleksandra and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Galić, Zoran and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The future of beech as the most widespread and most important tree species is an issue of great importance for the forestry in Serbia. The projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that in this region the average annual temperature for the A2 scenario could increase by as much as 3.8 degrees Celsius in the 21st century. The objective of this paper was to quantify changes in aridity in Serbia over the past 50 years by the aims of forest aridity index (FAI). Obtained results showed that the period 1981-2010 was drier in comparison with the period 1961-1990. In order to forecast the future impact of climate change on the beech forests in Serbia it was suggested using of climate projections together with forest aridity index., Budućnost bukve kao najrasprostranjenije i najznačajnije drvenaste vrste je pitanje od izuzetnog značaja za šumarsku nauku u Srbiji. Projekcije Međuvladinog panela za promenu klime govore da se na ovim prostorima prosečna godišnja temperatura po A2 scenariju može povećati za čak 3,8 °C u 21. veku. Cilj ovog rada je bio da kvantifikuje promene aridnosti u Srbiji u proteklih 50 godina upotrebom indeksa suše. Dobijeni rezultati su pokazali da je period 1981-2010 bio sušniji u odnosu na period 1961-1990. U svrhu predviđanja uticaja predstojećih klimatskih promena na šume bukve u Srbiji predloženo je korišćenje klimatskih prognoza združenih sa indeksom suše.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad",
journal = "Topola",
title = "The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia, Upotreba indeksa suše za evaluaciju uticaja promene klime na bukove šume u Srbiji",
pages = "123-117",
number = "189-190",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905"
}

Stojanović, D., Matović, B., Orlović, S., Kržič, A., Djurdjević, V., Galić, Z., Vuković, A.,& Vujadinović, M.. (2012). The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia. in Topola
Univerzitet u Novom Sadu - Institut za nizijsko šumarstvo i životnu sredinu, Novi Sad.(189-190), 117-123.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905

Stojanović D, Matović B, Orlović S, Kržič A, Djurdjević V, Galić Z, Vuković A, Vujadinović M. The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia. in Topola. 2012;(189-190):117-123.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905 .

Stojanović, Dejan, Matović, Bratislav, Orlović, Saša, Kržič, Aleksandra, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Galić, Zoran, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, "The use of forest aridity index for the evaluation of climate change impact on beech forests in Serbia" in Topola, no. 189-190 (2012):117-123,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_2905 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nicković, Slobodan
AU  - Djurdjević, Vladimir
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Janjić, Zavisa I.
AU  - Curcić, Milan
AU  - Rajković, Borivoj
PY  - 2011
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2682
AB  - Generation of short gravity wave noise often occurs on semi-staggered rectangular grids as a result of sub-grid decoupling when there is a strong forcing in the mass field. In this study a numerical scheme has been proposed to prevent the generation of the gravity wave decoupling. The proposed numerical method provides efficient communication between decoupled gravity wave finite-difference solutions by a simple averaging of a term in the height tendency in the continuity equation. The proposed method is tested using a shallow water sink model developed for the purpose of this study. It has been demonstrated that this method outperforms other existing approaches. The new scheme is time efficient, based on explicit time integration and can be easily implemented. The proposed method is applicable in hydrodynamic models specified on semi-staggered B or E grids.
PB  - Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science, San Diego
T2  - Journal of Computational Physics
T1  - Method for efficient prevention of gravity wave decoupling on rectangular semi-staggered grids
EP  - 1875
IS  - 5
SP  - 1865
VL  - 230
DO  - 10.1016/j.jcp.2010.11.037
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Nicković, Slobodan and Djurdjević, Vladimir and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Janjić, Zavisa I. and Curcić, Milan and Rajković, Borivoj",
year = "2011",
abstract = "Generation of short gravity wave noise often occurs on semi-staggered rectangular grids as a result of sub-grid decoupling when there is a strong forcing in the mass field. In this study a numerical scheme has been proposed to prevent the generation of the gravity wave decoupling. The proposed numerical method provides efficient communication between decoupled gravity wave finite-difference solutions by a simple averaging of a term in the height tendency in the continuity equation. The proposed method is tested using a shallow water sink model developed for the purpose of this study. It has been demonstrated that this method outperforms other existing approaches. The new scheme is time efficient, based on explicit time integration and can be easily implemented. The proposed method is applicable in hydrodynamic models specified on semi-staggered B or E grids.",
publisher = "Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science, San Diego",
journal = "Journal of Computational Physics",
title = "Method for efficient prevention of gravity wave decoupling on rectangular semi-staggered grids",
pages = "1875-1865",
number = "5",
volume = "230",
doi = "10.1016/j.jcp.2010.11.037"
}

Nicković, S., Djurdjević, V., Vujadinović, M., Janjić, Z. I., Curcić, M.,& Rajković, B.. (2011). Method for efficient prevention of gravity wave decoupling on rectangular semi-staggered grids. in Journal of Computational Physics
Academic Press Inc Elsevier Science, San Diego., 230(5), 1865-1875.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2010.11.037

Nicković S, Djurdjević V, Vujadinović M, Janjić ZI, Curcić M, Rajković B. Method for efficient prevention of gravity wave decoupling on rectangular semi-staggered grids. in Journal of Computational Physics. 2011;230(5):1865-1875.
doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2010.11.037 .

Nicković, Slobodan, Djurdjević, Vladimir, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Janjić, Zavisa I., Curcić, Milan, Rajković, Borivoj, "Method for efficient prevention of gravity wave decoupling on rectangular semi-staggered grids" in Journal of Computational Physics, 230, no. 5 (2011):1865-1875,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2010.11.037 . .