Djurdjević, V.

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  • Djurdjević, V. (4)
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Author's Bibliography

Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia

Vuković, Ana; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Djurdjević, V.; Cvetković, B.; Ranković-Vasić, Zorica; Pržić, Zoran; Ruml, Mirjana; Krzić, A.

(CEUR-WS, 2015)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Djurdjević, V.
AU  - Cvetković, B.
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Pržić, Zoran
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Krzić, A.
PY  - 2015
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3842
AB  - Climate change studies involve changes in climate system of global long-term scales with effects on regional and local climates, down to shortrange time scales, like weather hazards and extremes. Climate studies significantly contribute to the future strategic planning in economic development and thereby must produce results with high level of confidence. Global climate models simulations of the past and future climate are initial step in climate change research, but their coarse resolution data are unable to provide useful information for analysis on national levels. In this paper is presented workflow algorithm of the procedures necessary to convert coarse global climate system projected changes to fine scale data with included effect of small scale features and reduced model bias impact.
PB  - CEUR-WS
C3  - CEUR Workshop Proceedings
T1  - Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia
EP  - 901
SP  - 892
VL  - 1498
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3842
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Djurdjević, V. and Cvetković, B. and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Pržić, Zoran and Ruml, Mirjana and Krzić, A.",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Climate change studies involve changes in climate system of global long-term scales with effects on regional and local climates, down to shortrange time scales, like weather hazards and extremes. Climate studies significantly contribute to the future strategic planning in economic development and thereby must produce results with high level of confidence. Global climate models simulations of the past and future climate are initial step in climate change research, but their coarse resolution data are unable to provide useful information for analysis on national levels. In this paper is presented workflow algorithm of the procedures necessary to convert coarse global climate system projected changes to fine scale data with included effect of small scale features and reduced model bias impact.",
publisher = "CEUR-WS",
journal = "CEUR Workshop Proceedings",
title = "Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia",
pages = "901-892",
volume = "1498",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3842"
}
Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Djurdjević, V., Cvetković, B., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Pržić, Z., Ruml, M.,& Krzić, A.. (2015). Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia. in CEUR Workshop Proceedings
CEUR-WS., 1498, 892-901.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3842
Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Djurdjević V, Cvetković B, Ranković-Vasić Z, Pržić Z, Ruml M, Krzić A. Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia. in CEUR Workshop Proceedings. 2015;1498:892-901.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3842 .
Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Djurdjević, V., Cvetković, B., Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Pržić, Zoran, Ruml, Mirjana, Krzić, A., "Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia" in CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 1498 (2015):892-901,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3842 .
3

Numerical simulation of "an American haboob"

Vuković, Ana; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Pejanović, Goran; Andrić, J.; Kumjian, M.R.; Djurdjević, V.; Dacić, M.; Prasad, A.K.; El-Askary, Hesham; Paris, B.C.; Petković, S.; Nicković, Slobodan; Sprigg, W.A.

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Pejanović, Goran
AU  - Andrić, J.
AU  - Kumjian, M.R.
AU  - Djurdjević, V.
AU  - Dacić, M.
AU  - Prasad, A.K.
AU  - El-Askary, Hesham
AU  - Paris, B.C.
AU  - Petković, S.
AU  - Nicković, Slobodan
AU  - Sprigg, W.A.
PY  - 2014
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3538
AB  - A dust storm of fearful proportions hit Phoenix in the early evening hours of 5 July 2011. This storm, an American haboob, was predicted hours in advance because numerical, land-atmosphere modeling, computing power and remote sensing of dust events have improved greatly over the past decade. High-resolution numerical models are required for accurate simulation of the small scales of the haboob process, with high velocity surface winds produced by strong convection and severe downbursts. Dust productive areas in this region consist mainly of agricultural fields, with soil surfaces disturbed by plowing and tracks of land in the high Sonoran Desert laid barren by ongoing draught. Model simulation of the 5 July 2011 dust storm uses the coupled atmospheric-dust model NMME-DREAM (Non-hydrostatic Mesoscale Model on E grid, Janjic et al., 2001; Dust REgional Atmospheric Model, Nickovic et al., 2001; Perez et al., 2006) with 4 km horizontal resolution. A mask of the potentially dust productive regions is obtained from the land cover and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The scope of this paper is validation of the dust model performance, and not use of the model as a tool to investigate mechanisms related to the storm. Results demonstrate the potential technical capacity and availability of the relevant data to build an operational system for dust storm forecasting as a part of a warning system. Model results are compared with radar and other satellite-based images and surface meteorological and PM10 observations. The atmospheric model successfully hindcasted the position of the front in space and time, with about 1 h late arrival in Phoenix. The dust model predicted the rapid uptake of dust and high values of dust concentration in the ensuing storm. South of Phoenix, over the closest source regions (similar to 25 km), the model PM10 surface dust concentration reached similar to 2500 mu g m(-3), but underestimated the values measured by the PM10 stations within the city. Model results are also validated by the MODIS aerosol optical depth (AOD), employing deep blue (DB) algorithms for aerosol loadings. Model validation included Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO), equipped with the lidar instrument, to disclose the vertical structure of dust aerosols as well as aerosol subtypes. Promising results encourage further research and application of high-resolution modeling and satellite-based remote sensing to warn of approaching severe dust events and reduce risks for safety and health.
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
T1  - Numerical simulation of "an American haboob"
EP  - 3230
IS  - 7
SP  - 3211
VL  - 14
DO  - 10.5194/acp-14-3211-2014
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Pejanović, Goran and Andrić, J. and Kumjian, M.R. and Djurdjević, V. and Dacić, M. and Prasad, A.K. and El-Askary, Hesham and Paris, B.C. and Petković, S. and Nicković, Slobodan and Sprigg, W.A.",
year = "2014",
abstract = "A dust storm of fearful proportions hit Phoenix in the early evening hours of 5 July 2011. This storm, an American haboob, was predicted hours in advance because numerical, land-atmosphere modeling, computing power and remote sensing of dust events have improved greatly over the past decade. High-resolution numerical models are required for accurate simulation of the small scales of the haboob process, with high velocity surface winds produced by strong convection and severe downbursts. Dust productive areas in this region consist mainly of agricultural fields, with soil surfaces disturbed by plowing and tracks of land in the high Sonoran Desert laid barren by ongoing draught. Model simulation of the 5 July 2011 dust storm uses the coupled atmospheric-dust model NMME-DREAM (Non-hydrostatic Mesoscale Model on E grid, Janjic et al., 2001; Dust REgional Atmospheric Model, Nickovic et al., 2001; Perez et al., 2006) with 4 km horizontal resolution. A mask of the potentially dust productive regions is obtained from the land cover and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The scope of this paper is validation of the dust model performance, and not use of the model as a tool to investigate mechanisms related to the storm. Results demonstrate the potential technical capacity and availability of the relevant data to build an operational system for dust storm forecasting as a part of a warning system. Model results are compared with radar and other satellite-based images and surface meteorological and PM10 observations. The atmospheric model successfully hindcasted the position of the front in space and time, with about 1 h late arrival in Phoenix. The dust model predicted the rapid uptake of dust and high values of dust concentration in the ensuing storm. South of Phoenix, over the closest source regions (similar to 25 km), the model PM10 surface dust concentration reached similar to 2500 mu g m(-3), but underestimated the values measured by the PM10 stations within the city. Model results are also validated by the MODIS aerosol optical depth (AOD), employing deep blue (DB) algorithms for aerosol loadings. Model validation included Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO), equipped with the lidar instrument, to disclose the vertical structure of dust aerosols as well as aerosol subtypes. Promising results encourage further research and application of high-resolution modeling and satellite-based remote sensing to warn of approaching severe dust events and reduce risks for safety and health.",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics",
title = "Numerical simulation of "an American haboob"",
pages = "3230-3211",
number = "7",
volume = "14",
doi = "10.5194/acp-14-3211-2014"
}
Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Pejanović, G., Andrić, J., Kumjian, M.R., Djurdjević, V., Dacić, M., Prasad, A.K., El-Askary, H., Paris, B.C., Petković, S., Nicković, S.,& Sprigg, W.A.. (2014). Numerical simulation of "an American haboob". in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 14(7), 3211-3230.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-3211-2014
Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Pejanović G, Andrić J, Kumjian M, Djurdjević V, Dacić M, Prasad A, El-Askary H, Paris B, Petković S, Nicković S, Sprigg W. Numerical simulation of "an American haboob". in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 2014;14(7):3211-3230.
doi:10.5194/acp-14-3211-2014 .
Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Pejanović, Goran, Andrić, J., Kumjian, M.R., Djurdjević, V., Dacić, M., Prasad, A.K., El-Askary, Hesham, Paris, B.C., Petković, S., Nicković, Slobodan, Sprigg, W.A., "Numerical simulation of "an American haboob"" in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14, no. 7 (2014):3211-3230,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-3211-2014 . .
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Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling

Nicković, Slobodan; Vuković, Ana; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Djurdjević, V.; Pejanović, Goran

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nicković, Slobodan
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Djurdjević, V.
AU  - Pejanović, Goran
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2995
AB  - Dust storms and associated mineral aerosol transport are driven primarily by meso- and synoptic-scale atmospheric processes. It is therefore essential that the dust aerosol process and BACKGROUND:  atmospheric conditions that drive dust emissions and atmospheric transport are represented with sufficiently well-resolved spatial and temporal features. The effects of airborne dust interactions with the environment determine the mineral composition of dust particles. The fractions of various minerals in aerosol are determined by the mineral composition of arid soils; therefore, a high-resolution specification of the mineral and physical properties of dust sources is needed. Several current dust atmospheric models simulate and predict the evolution of dust concentrations; however, in most cases, these models do not consider the fractions of minerals in the dust. The accumulated knowledge about the impacts of the mineral composition in dust on weather and climate processes emphasizes the importance of including minerals in modeling systems. Accordingly, in this study, we developed a global dataset consisting of the mineral composition of the current potentially dust-producing soils. In our study, we (a) mapped mineral data to a high-resolution 30 s grid, (b) included several mineral-carrying soil types in dust-productive regions that were not considered in previous studies, and
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
T1  - Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling
EP  - 855
IS  - 2
SP  - 845
VL  - 12
DO  - 10.5194/acp-12-845-2012
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Nicković, Slobodan and Vuković, Ana and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Djurdjević, V. and Pejanović, Goran",
year = "2012",
abstract = "Dust storms and associated mineral aerosol transport are driven primarily by meso- and synoptic-scale atmospheric processes. It is therefore essential that the dust aerosol process and BACKGROUND:  atmospheric conditions that drive dust emissions and atmospheric transport are represented with sufficiently well-resolved spatial and temporal features. The effects of airborne dust interactions with the environment determine the mineral composition of dust particles. The fractions of various minerals in aerosol are determined by the mineral composition of arid soils; therefore, a high-resolution specification of the mineral and physical properties of dust sources is needed. Several current dust atmospheric models simulate and predict the evolution of dust concentrations; however, in most cases, these models do not consider the fractions of minerals in the dust. The accumulated knowledge about the impacts of the mineral composition in dust on weather and climate processes emphasizes the importance of including minerals in modeling systems. Accordingly, in this study, we developed a global dataset consisting of the mineral composition of the current potentially dust-producing soils. In our study, we (a) mapped mineral data to a high-resolution 30 s grid, (b) included several mineral-carrying soil types in dust-productive regions that were not considered in previous studies, and",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics",
title = "Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling",
pages = "855-845",
number = "2",
volume = "12",
doi = "10.5194/acp-12-845-2012"
}
Nicković, S., Vuković, A., Vujadinović, M., Djurdjević, V.,& Pejanović, G.. (2012). Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling. in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(2), 845-855.
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-845-2012
Nicković S, Vuković A, Vujadinović M, Djurdjević V, Pejanović G. Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling. in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 2012;12(2):845-855.
doi:10.5194/acp-12-845-2012 .
Nicković, Slobodan, Vuković, Ana, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Djurdjević, V., Pejanović, Goran, "Technical Note: High-resolution mineralogical database of dust-productive soils for atmospheric dust modeling" in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12, no. 2 (2012):845-855,
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-845-2012 . .
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Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region

Vujadinović, Mirjam; Vuković, Ana; Djurdjević, V.; Ranković-Vasić, Zorica; Atanacković, Z.; Sivčev, Branislava; Marković, Nebojša; Petrović, Nevena

(2012)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Djurdjević, V.
AU  - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
AU  - Atanacković, Z.
AU  - Sivčev, Branislava
AU  - Marković, Nebojša
AU  - Petrović, Nevena
PY  - 2012
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2801
AB  - The focus of this paper is to explain a proper way of using climate model simulations in climate change impact studies. Special attention is addressed to reducing model bias, a systematic model error present in all climate integrations. Studies are done using climate projection results obtained by the Coupled Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, for three periods: 1961-1990 (experiment 20c3m), 2001-2030 (A1B scenario) and 2071-2100 (A2 scenario) for the Balkan area with special analysis of vineyard regions in Serbia. A Statistical Bias Correction method, based on daily values, is applied to the model results in order to minimize bias. Corrected values for 2 m air temperature and precipitation are used to calculate several climate indicators important for grape growing. Obtained results show that projected increase in temperature may lead to an extended growing season duration, as well as an increase in Growing Degree-Days by 1000 units, by the end of the 21st century. The grapevine dormant period is likely to be shortened and affected by warmer winters with less frost days. Changes in water supply and overheating could lead to changes in vineyard locations or changes in the selection of grapevine cultivars. Presented results show that the present climate conditions in vineyard regions could be shifted to higher altitudes (1000 m) by the end of the century.
C3  - Acta Horticulturae
T1  - Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region
EP  - 94
SP  - 87
VL  - 931
DO  - 10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9
ER  - 
@conference{
author = "Vujadinović, Mirjam and Vuković, Ana and Djurdjević, V. and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Atanacković, Z. and Sivčev, Branislava and Marković, Nebojša and Petrović, Nevena",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The focus of this paper is to explain a proper way of using climate model simulations in climate change impact studies. Special attention is addressed to reducing model bias, a systematic model error present in all climate integrations. Studies are done using climate projection results obtained by the Coupled Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, for three periods: 1961-1990 (experiment 20c3m), 2001-2030 (A1B scenario) and 2071-2100 (A2 scenario) for the Balkan area with special analysis of vineyard regions in Serbia. A Statistical Bias Correction method, based on daily values, is applied to the model results in order to minimize bias. Corrected values for 2 m air temperature and precipitation are used to calculate several climate indicators important for grape growing. Obtained results show that projected increase in temperature may lead to an extended growing season duration, as well as an increase in Growing Degree-Days by 1000 units, by the end of the 21st century. The grapevine dormant period is likely to be shortened and affected by warmer winters with less frost days. Changes in water supply and overheating could lead to changes in vineyard locations or changes in the selection of grapevine cultivars. Presented results show that the present climate conditions in vineyard regions could be shifted to higher altitudes (1000 m) by the end of the century.",
journal = "Acta Horticulturae",
title = "Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region",
pages = "94-87",
volume = "931",
doi = "10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9"
}
Vujadinović, M., Vuković, A., Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, B., Marković, N.,& Petrović, N.. (2012). Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region. in Acta Horticulturae, 931, 87-94.
https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9
Vujadinović M, Vuković A, Djurdjević V, Ranković-Vasić Z, Atanacković Z, Sivčev B, Marković N, Petrović N. Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region. in Acta Horticulturae. 2012;931:87-94.
doi:10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9 .
Vujadinović, Mirjam, Vuković, Ana, Djurdjević, V., Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Atanacković, Z., Sivčev, Branislava, Marković, Nebojša, Petrović, Nevena, "Impact of Climate Change on Growing Season and Dormant Period Characteristics for the Balkan Region" in Acta Horticulturae, 931 (2012):87-94,
https://doi.org/10.17660/ActaHortic.2012.931.9 . .
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