Marković, Todor

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  • Marković, Todor (3)
Projects

Author's Bibliography

Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production

Kokot, Željko; Marković, Todor; Ivanović, Sanjin; Meseldzija, Maja

(MDPI, BASEL, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kokot, Željko
AU  - Marković, Todor
AU  - Ivanović, Sanjin
AU  - Meseldzija, Maja
PY  - 2020
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/5314
AB  - Crop production is largely unprotected and exposed to a great number of production factors. On the other hand, farmers are exposed to fluctuations in the market prices of their products every year, which often has a negative impact on the profits made. There are various risk management measures in plant production, and insurance is certainly one of the most effective instruments. One of the recent insurance models is Whole-Farm Revenue Insurance (WFRP), which is an American insurance model that has been applied since 2015. The essence of WFRP is to ensure that all crops on the farm are secured against production and market risks with only one policy. The aim of the research in this paper is to present WFRP as an entirely new model of revenue insurance on the example of a typical Serbian farm specializing in crop production. The WFRP model works by determining the insured revenue before the start of the production year. If at the end of the production year, for any reason, the realized revenue falls below the level of insured revenue, the farmer is entitled to indemnification. Due to the drought that hit the region where the analyzed farm is located, the yields were reduced, and thus the expected revenue was also reduced, and the farmer was entitled to damages of $5697. On the other hand, it is the farmer's obligation to pay $373 to the insurer as a risk transfer fee. The authors proved that even such complex insurance models can be applied in countries such as Serbia, where awareness of the importance of insurance of agricultural production is still not developed.
PB  - MDPI, BASEL
T2  - Sustainability
T1  - Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production
IS  - 16
VL  - 12
DO  - 10.3390/su12166349
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kokot, Željko and Marković, Todor and Ivanović, Sanjin and Meseldzija, Maja",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Crop production is largely unprotected and exposed to a great number of production factors. On the other hand, farmers are exposed to fluctuations in the market prices of their products every year, which often has a negative impact on the profits made. There are various risk management measures in plant production, and insurance is certainly one of the most effective instruments. One of the recent insurance models is Whole-Farm Revenue Insurance (WFRP), which is an American insurance model that has been applied since 2015. The essence of WFRP is to ensure that all crops on the farm are secured against production and market risks with only one policy. The aim of the research in this paper is to present WFRP as an entirely new model of revenue insurance on the example of a typical Serbian farm specializing in crop production. The WFRP model works by determining the insured revenue before the start of the production year. If at the end of the production year, for any reason, the realized revenue falls below the level of insured revenue, the farmer is entitled to indemnification. Due to the drought that hit the region where the analyzed farm is located, the yields were reduced, and thus the expected revenue was also reduced, and the farmer was entitled to damages of $5697. On the other hand, it is the farmer's obligation to pay $373 to the insurer as a risk transfer fee. The authors proved that even such complex insurance models can be applied in countries such as Serbia, where awareness of the importance of insurance of agricultural production is still not developed.",
publisher = "MDPI, BASEL",
journal = "Sustainability",
title = "Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production",
number = "16",
volume = "12",
doi = "10.3390/su12166349"
}
Kokot, Ž., Marković, T., Ivanović, S.,& Meseldzija, M.. (2020). Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production. in Sustainability
MDPI, BASEL., 12(16).
https://doi.org/10.3390/su12166349
Kokot Ž, Marković T, Ivanović S, Meseldzija M. Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production. in Sustainability. 2020;12(16).
doi:10.3390/su12166349 .
Kokot, Željko, Marković, Todor, Ivanović, Sanjin, Meseldzija, Maja, "Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production" in Sustainability, 12, no. 16 (2020),
https://doi.org/10.3390/su12166349 . .
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Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia

Marković, Todor; Husemann, Christoph; Ivanović, Sanjin; Zekić, Vladislav

(Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Marković, Todor
AU  - Husemann, Christoph
AU  - Ivanović, Sanjin
AU  - Zekić, Vladislav
PY  - 2015
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3846
AB  - In the past, farmers have bought traditional insurance to protect them-selves against crop losses caused by weather. As a new tool, weather derivatives have the potential to support farmers against weather induced risks more efficiently than traditional insurance. Nevertheless the market for weather derivatives is still relatively limited. The objective of this analysis is to quantify the risk reducing effect that can be achieved by using weather derivatives in crop production. For this reason a crop farm in Serbia served as an example to determine the risk reducing effect in wheat and corn production, as they are the most important crops in Serbia with grate export potential. The paper applies stochastic simulation and value-at-risk methods. In the paper are presented fair premiums and payoffs of put options in wheat and corn production, as well as revenue distributions with and without weather derivatives. It was found that the risk reduction was more significant in wheat production (21.88%) than in corn production (18.13%). Therefore, in case of Serbia weather derivatives would be more useful in wheat production.
PB  - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco
T2  - Custos e Agronegocio
T1  - Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia
EP  - 202
IS  - 4
SP  - 189
VL  - 11
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3846
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Marković, Todor and Husemann, Christoph and Ivanović, Sanjin and Zekić, Vladislav",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In the past, farmers have bought traditional insurance to protect them-selves against crop losses caused by weather. As a new tool, weather derivatives have the potential to support farmers against weather induced risks more efficiently than traditional insurance. Nevertheless the market for weather derivatives is still relatively limited. The objective of this analysis is to quantify the risk reducing effect that can be achieved by using weather derivatives in crop production. For this reason a crop farm in Serbia served as an example to determine the risk reducing effect in wheat and corn production, as they are the most important crops in Serbia with grate export potential. The paper applies stochastic simulation and value-at-risk methods. In the paper are presented fair premiums and payoffs of put options in wheat and corn production, as well as revenue distributions with and without weather derivatives. It was found that the risk reduction was more significant in wheat production (21.88%) than in corn production (18.13%). Therefore, in case of Serbia weather derivatives would be more useful in wheat production.",
publisher = "Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco",
journal = "Custos e Agronegocio",
title = "Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia",
pages = "202-189",
number = "4",
volume = "11",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3846"
}
Marković, T., Husemann, C., Ivanović, S.,& Zekić, V.. (2015). Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia. in Custos e Agronegocio
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco., 11(4), 189-202.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3846
Marković T, Husemann C, Ivanović S, Zekić V. Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia. in Custos e Agronegocio. 2015;11(4):189-202.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3846 .
Marković, Todor, Husemann, Christoph, Ivanović, Sanjin, Zekić, Vladislav, "Drought insurance in wheat and corn production with weather derivatives: the case of Serbia" in Custos e Agronegocio, 11, no. 4 (2015):189-202,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3846 .
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1

Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option

Marković, Todor; Ivanović, Sanjin; Pajić, Miloš

(Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Marković, Todor
AU  - Ivanović, Sanjin
AU  - Pajić, Miloš
PY  - 2014
UR  - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3515
AB  - Chamomile is very important medicinal and aromatic plant, and is used in many industries. The goal of this paper is to analyze the effect of risk elimination (effect of hedging) in production of chamomile in Serbia using weather put option based on the quantity of precipitation. The analysis is based on calculations of average costs of chamomile production per hectare, costs of agricultural mechanization, and determination of profit in chamomile production. To structure weather put option the key issue is calculation of option payoff and evaluation of risk price (fair premium) a buyer is willing to pay for risk transfer. Fair premium is determined by burn-rate method. Chamomile revenue is calculated with use of the weather derivatives and without them using stochastic simulation method. Calculations are performed by appropriate computer software (" Risk). Results have shown that use of weather put option is efficient only if production location is in the immediate vicinity of weather station and if the correlation between quantity of precipitation and chamomile yield is high.
PB  - Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco
T2  - Custos e Agronegocio
T1  - Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option
EP  - 295
IS  - 2
SP  - 285
VL  - 10
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3515
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Marković, Todor and Ivanović, Sanjin and Pajić, Miloš",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Chamomile is very important medicinal and aromatic plant, and is used in many industries. The goal of this paper is to analyze the effect of risk elimination (effect of hedging) in production of chamomile in Serbia using weather put option based on the quantity of precipitation. The analysis is based on calculations of average costs of chamomile production per hectare, costs of agricultural mechanization, and determination of profit in chamomile production. To structure weather put option the key issue is calculation of option payoff and evaluation of risk price (fair premium) a buyer is willing to pay for risk transfer. Fair premium is determined by burn-rate method. Chamomile revenue is calculated with use of the weather derivatives and without them using stochastic simulation method. Calculations are performed by appropriate computer software (" Risk). Results have shown that use of weather put option is efficient only if production location is in the immediate vicinity of weather station and if the correlation between quantity of precipitation and chamomile yield is high.",
publisher = "Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco",
journal = "Custos e Agronegocio",
title = "Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option",
pages = "295-285",
number = "2",
volume = "10",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3515"
}
Marković, T., Ivanović, S.,& Pajić, M.. (2014). Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option. in Custos e Agronegocio
Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco., 10(2), 285-295.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3515
Marković T, Ivanović S, Pajić M. Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option. in Custos e Agronegocio. 2014;10(2):285-295.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3515 .
Marković, Todor, Ivanović, Sanjin, Pajić, Miloš, "Costs and profit in chamomile production using weather put option" in Custos e Agronegocio, 10, no. 2 (2014):285-295,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_3515 .
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