Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia
Аутори
Vujadinović Mandić, MirjamRanković Vasić, Zorica
Ćosić, Marija
Dolijanović, Željko
Đurović, Dejan
Simić, Aleksandar
Lipovac, Aleksa
Životić, Ljubomir
Vuković Vimić, Ana
Конференцијски прилог (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
Extreme weather and climate events over the past years have been bringing damage and
losses to agricultural production in Serbia.
As a part of the development of the National climate change adaptation plan, weather and
climate events and extremes that may significantly influence the growth of agricultural plant,
their quality and yields, were defined as a first step in the climate change risk assessment
within the agriculture sector. Such events included: high summer temperature, low winter
temperature, spring frost, drought, intense precipitation, floods, hail and storms, but also
slow-onset changes such as inter annual redistribution of precipitation and rising air
temperatures. Based on the selected potentially dangerous phenomena, bioclimatic indices
were formulated for various fruit species, grapevine, strategically important field crops,
meadows and pastures.
The degree of exposure to selected weather and climate events was assessed for the past,
present and future, b...ased on the analysis of daily data on temperature and precipitation from
the eOBS gridded observations dataset (2000-2019) and projections of 8 regional climate
models under the RCP8.5 greenhouse gases emission scenario, for the periods 1986-2005,
2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2081-2100. The vulnerability assessment was done for the
administrative districts and the entire territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the
valuation of the severity of socio-economic consequences that considered events might have.
The risk assessment was done combining the estimated levels of exposure and vulnerability.
Кључне речи:
climate change / climate projections / bioclimate indices / vulnerability / risk assessmentИзвор:
X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода, 2021, 29-30Издавач:
- Univerzitet u Beogradu - Poljoprivredni fakultet
Институција/група
Poljoprivredni fakultetTY - CONF AU - Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam AU - Ranković Vasić, Zorica AU - Ćosić, Marija AU - Dolijanović, Željko AU - Đurović, Dejan AU - Simić, Aleksandar AU - Lipovac, Aleksa AU - Životić, Ljubomir AU - Vuković Vimić, Ana PY - 2021 UR - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/6611 AB - Extreme weather and climate events over the past years have been bringing damage and losses to agricultural production in Serbia. As a part of the development of the National climate change adaptation plan, weather and climate events and extremes that may significantly influence the growth of agricultural plant, their quality and yields, were defined as a first step in the climate change risk assessment within the agriculture sector. Such events included: high summer temperature, low winter temperature, spring frost, drought, intense precipitation, floods, hail and storms, but also slow-onset changes such as inter annual redistribution of precipitation and rising air temperatures. Based on the selected potentially dangerous phenomena, bioclimatic indices were formulated for various fruit species, grapevine, strategically important field crops, meadows and pastures. The degree of exposure to selected weather and climate events was assessed for the past, present and future, based on the analysis of daily data on temperature and precipitation from the eOBS gridded observations dataset (2000-2019) and projections of 8 regional climate models under the RCP8.5 greenhouse gases emission scenario, for the periods 1986-2005, 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2081-2100. The vulnerability assessment was done for the administrative districts and the entire territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the valuation of the severity of socio-economic consequences that considered events might have. The risk assessment was done combining the estimated levels of exposure and vulnerability. PB - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Poljoprivredni fakultet C3 - X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода T1 - Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia EP - 30 SP - 29 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_6611 ER -
@conference{ author = "Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam and Ranković Vasić, Zorica and Ćosić, Marija and Dolijanović, Željko and Đurović, Dejan and Simić, Aleksandar and Lipovac, Aleksa and Životić, Ljubomir and Vuković Vimić, Ana", year = "2021", abstract = "Extreme weather and climate events over the past years have been bringing damage and losses to agricultural production in Serbia. As a part of the development of the National climate change adaptation plan, weather and climate events and extremes that may significantly influence the growth of agricultural plant, their quality and yields, were defined as a first step in the climate change risk assessment within the agriculture sector. Such events included: high summer temperature, low winter temperature, spring frost, drought, intense precipitation, floods, hail and storms, but also slow-onset changes such as inter annual redistribution of precipitation and rising air temperatures. Based on the selected potentially dangerous phenomena, bioclimatic indices were formulated for various fruit species, grapevine, strategically important field crops, meadows and pastures. The degree of exposure to selected weather and climate events was assessed for the past, present and future, based on the analysis of daily data on temperature and precipitation from the eOBS gridded observations dataset (2000-2019) and projections of 8 regional climate models under the RCP8.5 greenhouse gases emission scenario, for the periods 1986-2005, 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2081-2100. The vulnerability assessment was done for the administrative districts and the entire territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the valuation of the severity of socio-economic consequences that considered events might have. The risk assessment was done combining the estimated levels of exposure and vulnerability.", publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Poljoprivredni fakultet", journal = "X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода", title = "Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia", pages = "30-29", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_6611" }
Vujadinović Mandić, M., Ranković Vasić, Z., Ćosić, M., Dolijanović, Ž., Đurović, D., Simić, A., Lipovac, A., Životić, L.,& Vuković Vimić, A.. (2021). Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia. in X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода Univerzitet u Beogradu - Poljoprivredni fakultet., 29-30. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_6611
Vujadinović Mandić M, Ranković Vasić Z, Ćosić M, Dolijanović Ž, Đurović D, Simić A, Lipovac A, Životić L, Vuković Vimić A. Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia. in X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода. 2021;:29-30. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_6611 .
Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam, Ranković Vasić, Zorica, Ćosić, Marija, Dolijanović, Željko, Đurović, Dejan, Simić, Aleksandar, Lipovac, Aleksa, Životić, Ljubomir, Vuković Vimić, Ana, "Climate change risk assessment for plant production in Serbia" in X Симпозијум са међународним учешћем „Иновације у ратарској и повртарској производњи“ Београд, 21 – 22. октобар 2021. Зборник извода (2021):29-30, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_agrospace_6611 .