Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production
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2019
Authors
Teslić, NemanjaVujadinović, Mirjam
Ruml, Mirjana
Ricci, Arianna
Vuković, Ana
Parpinello, Giuseppina P.
Versari, Andrea
Article (Published version)
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Show full item recordAbstract
Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under th...e RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments.
Keywords:
Climate change / Viticulture / Emilia-Romagna / Bioclimatic indicesSource:
Regional Environmental Change, 2019, 19, 2, 599-614Publisher:
- Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg
Funding / projects:
- Faculty of Agriculture, University of Belgrade
- Fund for Young Talents of the Republic of Serbia
- Studying climate change and its influence on environment: impacts, adaptation and mitigation (RS-43007)
- Erasmus Mundus Joint EU-SEE PENTA program
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6
ISSN: 1436-3798
WoS: 000458271700024
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85056751278
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Poljoprivredni fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Teslić, Nemanja AU - Vujadinović, Mirjam AU - Ruml, Mirjana AU - Ricci, Arianna AU - Vuković, Ana AU - Parpinello, Giuseppina P. AU - Versari, Andrea PY - 2019 UR - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/5036 AB - Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments. PB - Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg T2 - Regional Environmental Change T1 - Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production EP - 614 IS - 2 SP - 599 VL - 19 DO - 10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6 ER -
@article{ author = "Teslić, Nemanja and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Ruml, Mirjana and Ricci, Arianna and Vuković, Ana and Parpinello, Giuseppina P. and Versari, Andrea", year = "2019", abstract = "Grape production is highly responsive to weather conditions and therefore very sensitive to climate change. To evaluate how viticulture in the traditional Italian wine region Emilia-Romagna could be affected by climate change, several bioclimatic indices describing the suitability for grapevine production were calculated for two future periods (2011-2040 and 2071-2100) using CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) high-resolution climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenariosRCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The projections for both of the RCP scenarios showed that most of the Emilia-Romagna region will remain suitable for grape production during the period 2011-2040. By the end of the twenty-first century, the suitability to produce grapes in Emilia-Romagna could be threatened to a greater or smaller extent, depending on the scenario. During the period 2071-2100, the entire Emilia-Romagna region will be too hot for grape production under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Under the RCP 4.5 scenario, changes will be milder, suggesting that the Emilia-Romagna region could still be suitable for grape cultivation by the end of the twenty-first century but would likely require certain adjustments.", publisher = "Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg", journal = "Regional Environmental Change", title = "Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production", pages = "614-599", number = "2", volume = "19", doi = "10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6" }
Teslić, N., Vujadinović, M., Ruml, M., Ricci, A., Vuković, A., Parpinello, G. P.,& Versari, A.. (2019). Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production. in Regional Environmental Change Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg., 19(2), 599-614. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6
Teslić N, Vujadinović M, Ruml M, Ricci A, Vuković A, Parpinello GP, Versari A. Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production. in Regional Environmental Change. 2019;19(2):599-614. doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6 .
Teslić, Nemanja, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Ruml, Mirjana, Ricci, Arianna, Vuković, Ana, Parpinello, Giuseppina P., Versari, Andrea, "Future climatic suitability of the Emilia-Romagna (Italy) region for grape production" in Regional Environmental Change, 19, no. 2 (2019):599-614, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1431-6 . .