Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia
Аутори
Vujadinović Mandić, MirjamVuković Vimić, Ana
Ranković-Vasić, Zorica
Đurović, Dejan
Ćosić, Marija
Sotonica, Dunja
Nikolić, Dragan
Đurđević, Vladimir
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
Climate change, through changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme events, has influenced agricultural production and food security over the past several decades. In order to assess climate and weather-related risks to fruit and grape production in Serbia, changes in bioclimatic indices and frequency of the occurrence of unfavourable weather events are spatially analysed for the past two decades (1998–2017) and the standard climatological period 1961–1990. Between the two periods, the Winkler and Huglin indices changed into a warmer category in most of the viticultural regions of Serbia. The average change shift was about 200 m towards higher elevations. Regarding the frequency of spring frost, high summer temperatures and water deficit, the most vulnerable regions in terms of fruit and grape production are found alongside large rivers (Danube, Sava, Great and South Morava), as well as in the northern part of the country. Regions below 300 m are under increased ris...k of high summer temperatures, as the number and duration of occurrences increased significantly over the studied periods. The high-resolution spatial analysis presented here gives an assessment of the climate change influence on the fruit and grapes production. The presented approach may be used in regional impact assessments and national planning of adaptation measures, and it may help increase resilience of agricultural production to climate change.
Кључне речи:
bioclimatic indices / climate change / fruits / risk assessment / wine grapeИзвор:
Atmosphere, 2022, 13, 6, 948-Финансирање / пројекти:
Институција/група
Poljoprivredni fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam AU - Vuković Vimić, Ana AU - Ranković-Vasić, Zorica AU - Đurović, Dejan AU - Ćosić, Marija AU - Sotonica, Dunja AU - Nikolić, Dragan AU - Đurđević, Vladimir PY - 2022 UR - https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/6/948 UR - http://aspace.agrif.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/6154 AB - Climate change, through changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme events, has influenced agricultural production and food security over the past several decades. In order to assess climate and weather-related risks to fruit and grape production in Serbia, changes in bioclimatic indices and frequency of the occurrence of unfavourable weather events are spatially analysed for the past two decades (1998–2017) and the standard climatological period 1961–1990. Between the two periods, the Winkler and Huglin indices changed into a warmer category in most of the viticultural regions of Serbia. The average change shift was about 200 m towards higher elevations. Regarding the frequency of spring frost, high summer temperatures and water deficit, the most vulnerable regions in terms of fruit and grape production are found alongside large rivers (Danube, Sava, Great and South Morava), as well as in the northern part of the country. Regions below 300 m are under increased risk of high summer temperatures, as the number and duration of occurrences increased significantly over the studied periods. The high-resolution spatial analysis presented here gives an assessment of the climate change influence on the fruit and grapes production. The presented approach may be used in regional impact assessments and national planning of adaptation measures, and it may help increase resilience of agricultural production to climate change. T2 - Atmosphere T2 - Atmosphere T1 - Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia IS - 6 SP - 948 VL - 13 DO - 10.3390/atmos13060948 ER -
@article{ author = "Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam and Vuković Vimić, Ana and Ranković-Vasić, Zorica and Đurović, Dejan and Ćosić, Marija and Sotonica, Dunja and Nikolić, Dragan and Đurđević, Vladimir", year = "2022", abstract = "Climate change, through changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme events, has influenced agricultural production and food security over the past several decades. In order to assess climate and weather-related risks to fruit and grape production in Serbia, changes in bioclimatic indices and frequency of the occurrence of unfavourable weather events are spatially analysed for the past two decades (1998–2017) and the standard climatological period 1961–1990. Between the two periods, the Winkler and Huglin indices changed into a warmer category in most of the viticultural regions of Serbia. The average change shift was about 200 m towards higher elevations. Regarding the frequency of spring frost, high summer temperatures and water deficit, the most vulnerable regions in terms of fruit and grape production are found alongside large rivers (Danube, Sava, Great and South Morava), as well as in the northern part of the country. Regions below 300 m are under increased risk of high summer temperatures, as the number and duration of occurrences increased significantly over the studied periods. The high-resolution spatial analysis presented here gives an assessment of the climate change influence on the fruit and grapes production. The presented approach may be used in regional impact assessments and national planning of adaptation measures, and it may help increase resilience of agricultural production to climate change.", journal = "Atmosphere, Atmosphere", title = "Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia", number = "6", pages = "948", volume = "13", doi = "10.3390/atmos13060948" }
Vujadinović Mandić, M., Vuković Vimić, A., Ranković-Vasić, Z., Đurović, D., Ćosić, M., Sotonica, D., Nikolić, D.,& Đurđević, V.. (2022). Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia. in Atmosphere, 13(6), 948. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13060948
Vujadinović Mandić M, Vuković Vimić A, Ranković-Vasić Z, Đurović D, Ćosić M, Sotonica D, Nikolić D, Đurđević V. Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia. in Atmosphere. 2022;13(6):948. doi:10.3390/atmos13060948 .
Vujadinović Mandić, Mirjam, Vuković Vimić, Ana, Ranković-Vasić, Zorica, Đurović, Dejan, Ćosić, Marija, Sotonica, Dunja, Nikolić, Dragan, Đurđević, Vladimir, "Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia" in Atmosphere, 13, no. 6 (2022):948, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13060948 . .